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Price Gains Continue in Calgary’s Real Estate Market as Inventory Remains Low

Nov. 01, 2023 | CREB

October sales activity slowed over the last month in alignment with typical seasonal patterns. However, with 2,171 sales, levels were 17 per cent higher than last year and amongst the highest levels reported for October. Sales activity has been boosted mainly through gains in apartment condominium sales as consumers seek affordable housing options during this period of high-interest rates.

New listings also improved this month compared to last year, reaching 2,684 units, reflecting the highest October levels reported since 2015. Despite the gain, relatively strong sales prevented any significant shift in inventory levels, which remain over 40 per cent lower than levels traditionally available in October.

“Despite some recent improvements in new listings, supply levels remain challenging in our market,” said CREB® Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie. “It will take some time to see a shift toward more balanced conditions and ultimately more price stability.”

With a months of supply of one and a half months, we continue to experience upward pressure on home prices. The unadjusted benchmark price in October reached $571,600, a gain over last month and nearly 10 per cent higher than last October.

Detached
Both sales and new listings improved over levels reported last October. However, with 1,302 new listings this month and 976 sales, inventory levels slowed over the last month. Inventory levels remain the lowest ever reported for October. Inventory levels have declined for all homes priced below $700,000, leaving conditions exceptionally tight for lower-priced homes. The only area where conditions are not as tight as last year is for homes priced above $1,000,000, where the months-of-supply has risen to 4.3 months.

Persistently tight conditions continue to cause further price gains in the detached market. As of October, the unadjusted benchmark price reached $697,600, a slight increase over last month and 12 per cent higher than last October. Prices trended up over the last month across every district except the South East. Year-to-date benchmark prices have increased the most in the North East and East districts.

Semi-Detached
New listings in October improved over the low levels reported last year. However, with 235 new listings and 179 sales, the sales to new listings ratio remained relatively high at 76 per cent, preventing any significant change in the inventory levels. Inventory levels are nearly half the levels traditionally seen in October and have not been this low since October 2005.

Persistently tight conditions have continued to support price growth. In October, the unadjusted benchmark price increased over the last month, reaching $628,700, a year-over-year gain of 13 per cent. Prices trended up over September across most districts, with the most significant monthly gain occurring in the City Centre district. Like the detached sector year-to-date, the highest price growth has happened in the most affordable districts of the North East and East.

Row
The 420 new listings this month were met with 375 sales, keeping the sales-to-new listings ratio high at 89 per cent and preventing a significant shift in inventory levels. Row inventory levels have not been this low since October 2005. At the same time, October sales reached a record high for the month, keeping the months of supply low at one month.

Persistently tight market conditions have supported further gains in prices this month. In October, the unadjusted benchmark price reached $425,200, a monthly gain of over one per cent and nearly 19 per cent higher than last October. Prices have risen across most districts, but this month, the largest monthly gain occurred in the City Centre, which has also seen the lowest year-to-date price growth compared to the other districts.

Apartment Condominium
Record high sales in October were possible thanks to the steep gain in new listings. However, with 727 new listings and 641 sales, the sales to new listings ratio remained high at 88 per cent, and inventories continued to trend down. The decline in inventory levels has been driven mostly by condos priced below $300,000, which now represent only 38 per cent of all inventory, a significant decline compared to the 53 per cent reported last year.

Persistent seller market conditions have driven much of the recent gains in prices. The unadjusted October benchmark price reached $316,600 in October, a monthly gain of over one per cent and a year-over-year increase of 16 per cent. Year-to-date price gains have occurred across every district in the city, with some of the largest gains arising in the lower-priced North East and East districts.

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS
Airdrie
Sales in the city eased in October, contributing to the year-to-date decline of 29 per cent. Much of the decline has been driven by detached home sales. Limited supply choice in the lower price ranges has contributed to some steep drop in home sales priced below $500,000. While Inventory levels have improved over last year’s low levels, the growth was driven by homes priced above $500,000.

While adjustments in both sales and inventory levels did cause the months of supply to trend up over the last month, with less than two months of supply, conditions remain tight, supporting further price gains. In October, the benchmark price rose over the last month, reaching $521,400, a year-over-year gain of nearly 10 per cent.

Cochrane
New listings improved over last month’s and last year’s levels, likely supporting some of the monthly gains in sales. Nonetheless, year-to-date sales have eased by nearly 22 per cent as sales have eased across all property types. While sales have slowed, levels remain far higher than long-term trends for the town. Despite the monthly improvement in new listings, inventory levels were lower than last year and remain well below long-term trends.

Persistently tight market conditions supported further price growth this month. In October, the unadjusted benchmark price reached $539,900, a monthly gain of over one per cent and a year-over-year increase of seven per cent. Price growth has occurred across all property types, with the largest year-over-year gains occurring in the apartment condominium sector.

Okotoks
The 48 new listings in October were met with 41 sales, keeping the sales-to-new listings ratio high at 85 per cent and preventing any adjustments to the exceptionally low inventory levels. Low inventory levels have likely prevented stronger sales activity, as year-to-date sales have declined by 26 per cent, primarily due to pullbacks in detached activity.

Despite some price adjustments over the last few months, the unadjusted benchmark price rose slightly over September and was over nine per cent higher than last October. Prices have increased across all property types, but the year-over-year gains have been highest for detached and semi-detached homes.

Click here to view the full City of Calgary monthly stats package.

Click here to view the full Calgary region monthly stats package.



CREB®’s Q2 2023 Housing Market Report

The Calgary Real Estate Board (CREB®) has released its Q2 2023 Housing Market Report. The report highlights a dynamic real estate landscape in the City of Calgary, showcasing strong trends in sales, demand and pricing.

As expected, sales activity has slowed from last year’s record-breaking pace while staying stronger than long-term trends. What was not expected was the robust demand in the higher price segments of the market despite higher lending rates.

“An influx of migrants coming from Ontario and British Columbia are likely contributing to some of the strength for higher priced properties, as the relative affordability could make migrants less sensitive to the recent gains in lending rates, said CREB® Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie. “At the same time, continued strength in our labour market is supporting demand across all property types.”

However, the robust demand is met with a shortage in supply. Housing inventory levels have remained notably low across various segments, encompassing the resale, new home, and rental markets. Despite relatively strong new home starts, these have not been sufficient to alleviate inventory constraints, primarily due to the influx of migrants. Resale supply has also encountered unexpected challenges, as higher lending rates and limited choices in supply have deterred existing homeowners from making changes.

The prevailing shortage in supply has contributed to the continuation of tight market conditions, which has led to stronger-than-expected price growth across all property types in the city. This steady appreciation in prices throughout the year has effectively offset declines observed in the latter half of 2022, ultimately resulting in new record-high prices.

“Home prices have exceeded our expectations as supply challenges have persisted throughout the spring market, added Lurie. “While the pace of monthly gains is expected to slow in the second half of the year, limited supply choice is expected to keep prices elevated throughout the second half of the year.”

For the full report, please download CREB®’s Q2 2023 Calgary & Region Quarterly Update Report here.

Buying and selling short-term rentals: Airbnb & VRBO

Summer Edition V.1

As we embark on the summer travel season, many of you will be including the non-traditional means of accommodation styles and will choose to go with an Airbnb or a Vacation Rental rather than a traditional Hotel. Whether it be for convenience, cost, size or location, more than not a Vacation Rental vs a Hotel makes a lot of sense. How many times after staying at a Vacation Rental Property have you thought to yourself, ‘I need to explore getting into the short-term rental market’.

Short-term rental properties can be lucrative and can provide a steady supplemental income. However, you do need to do your homework before jumping into being the ‘Hostess with the Mostess’. Before you make the decision of getting into the short-term rental market, let’s dive into listing and purchasing properties with Airbnb and VRBO capabilities.

Airbnb Terms & Conditions

  • If purchasing a pre-existing Airbnb, the seller’s Airbnb account is not transferrable with the purchase of the property

Seems obvious but some people assume it automatically transfers over. Once the deal closes, the new property owners must create their own Airbnb profile or add the new property to their existing profile. The new property owners cannot assume any existing reviews or ratings from the previous owners.

  • Sellers need to cancel any reservations made after the possession date

Sellers cannot transfer existing bookings to a buyer. Once the buyers have taken possession, they can do re-bookings. However, if the sellers take the furniture or shut off the utilities, the buyer must be informed as this could be a problem if unprepared.

  • Some municipalities may require a permit

If a permit is required to operate an Airbnb, you will need to find out if that permit will transfer when the property sells or if a new one can be issued.

VRBO Terms & Conditions

  • Use of site content, name or images is prohibited on marketing material

The platform name ‘VRBO,’ or any copied content, cannot appear on any marketing material used to promote the purchase or sale of a property. This includes the MLS® System.

  • Cannot list the contact information of another person

The VRBO profile cannot be used to advertise the property for sale nor direct potential buyers to contact a REALTOR® for more information.

Short-term Rentals & Condominiums

With the increasing popularity of condominiums used as Airbnbs and VRBOs, some condo boards have felt the opposite appeal towards the rental trend.

In an Edmonton court ruling, Justice Paul Belzil issued a permanent injunction that includes short-term rentals such as Airbnb to be considered a “commercial transaction” and, therefore, in violation of this specific condo board’s bylaws. You can read more about that ruling here: Edmonton judge backs condo board in banning online rentals | CBC News

With the example of this court ruling, it is important to discuss this with your Realtor and make sure they or you investigate a condominium’s bylaws concerning short-term rentals before highlighting this as a feature of the property on the MLS® System.

Short-term rentals & the MLS® System

If you are considering selling your short-term rental, there are guidelines your Realtor needs to follow when listing on the MLS, essentially treating it as a normal residential listing:

  • Property specific
  • Avoid the use of self or third-party promotion
  • Avoid using websites, phone numbers, or promoting any rental reviews in the public remarks
  • Avoid promoting the potential of income, as this creates a high risk for misleading information
  • CREB® Rule Part III – 2.03(b) (24-hours to show rule) applies to short-term rentals and must be available to show. Therefore, if you have reservations during the sale period, it could be difficult to set up showings.

Quick tip

Remember, with any real estate transaction where it will be deemed an income earner, make sure to check in with an accounting firm concerning applicable tax. Depending on the business nature of their short-term rental or your intention when purchasing, seeking professional guidance in this area will be helpful.

Seller’s Market Continues as Prices Reach New Record High

May 1, 2023

Persistent sellers’ market conditions placed further upward pressure on home prices in April.

After four months of persistent gains, the total unadjusted benchmark price reached $550,800, nearly two per cent higher than last month and a new monthly record high for the city. 

“While sales activity is performing as expected, the steeper pullback in new listings has ensured that supply levels remain low,” said CREB® Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie. “The limited supply choice is causing more buyers to place offers above the list price, contributing to the stronger than expected gains in home prices.”

In April, sales reached 2,690 units compared to the 3,133 new listings. With a sales-to-new-listings ratio of 86 per cent, inventories declined by 34 per cent compared to last year and are over 45 per cent below long-term averages for April.

While sales have eased by 21 per cent compared to last year, the steep decline in supply has caused the months of supply to ease to just over one month. This reflects tighter market conditions than earlier in the year and compared to conditions reported last April. 

To read the full stats release on April’s housing market for Calgary and surrounding areas, click here.

Click here to view the full City of Calgary monthly stats package.

Click here to view the full Calgary region monthly stats package.

March Housing Market Update

Prices Rise as Conditions Favour the Seller

Sales and new listings have improved over the levels reported at the beginning of the year. As a result, the spread between sales and new listings supported some expected monthly inventory level gains. However, the 3,233 available units reflected the lowest March inventory levels since 2006 and left the months of supply just above one month, firmly in the seller’s territory. While conditions are not as tight as last March, low inventory levels leave purchasers with limited choice, once again driving up home prices.

Total unadjusted residential home prices reached $541,800 in March, a two per cent gain over last month and nearly one per cent higher than prices reported last year. While prices remain below the May 2022 high of $546,000, the pace of price growth over the first quarter has been stronger than expected due to the persistent seller’s market conditions.

“As expected, sales have eased from record levels while remaining stronger than they were before the pandemic thanks to recent gains in migration supporting demand,” said CREB® Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie.

“The challenge has been centered around supply. As a result, existing homeowners may be reluctant to list as they struggle to find an acceptable housing alternative in this market. At the same time, higher lending rates can also reduce the incentives for existing homeowners to list their home.”

March recorded 3,318 new listings compared to the 2,432 sales, leaving the sales-to-new listings ratio relatively high at 73 per cent. However, both sales and new listings have eased by 40 per cent compared to levels reported last March.

Detached
Lower listings and higher lending rates have contributed to the steep pullback in detached sales. With 1,145 sales, this is the only property type where activity has fallen below long-term trends for the month. However, despite the drop in sales, inventory levels remain comparable to the lowest March levels recorded in 2006.
 
The persistently tight market conditions have contributed to further price growth. In March, the detached benchmark price reached a new record high at $649,800. Conditions are much tighter at the lower end of the market as supply levels have shifted. Nearly 63 per cent of the new listings that have come onto the market so far this year are priced over $600,000, much higher than the 48 per cent reported last year.

Semi-Detached
Like other property types, sales and new listings reported a significant drop over last year’s levels, leaving the market exceptionally tight with a sales-to-new listings ratio of 78 per cent in March. In addition, higher lending rates have driven many purchasers to seek semi-detached properties. However, conditions remained exceptionally tight for properties priced below $600,000.
 
Low inventory levels relative to the sales in the market drove further price gains this month. As a result, the unadjusted benchmark price reached $581,300 in March, over two per cent higher than last month and nearly two per cent higher than last year’s levels. However, despite the strong gains over the past several months, prices remain shy of the May 2022 monthly high of $584,700.

Row
While row sales, new listings and inventory levels have all trended up compared to levels seen at the start of the year, like other property types, levels are much lower than last year. With one month of supply available, conditions continue to favour the seller. The tight market conditions also placed further upward pressure on prices.
 
In March, the benchmark price rose to $378,100, reflecting a year-over-year gain of nearly eight per cent and representing a new monthly record high. Price growth was strongest in the city’s North East and South districts, with the lowest year-over-year gains occurring in the West district.

Apartment Condominium
March reported 682 apartment condominium sales, a decline of 11 per cent over last year’s record high. New listings also eased by eight per cent compared to last year, keeping inventory levels relatively low at 1,000 units. The low inventory levels compared to sales kept the months of supply well below two months, ensuring the market continued to favour the seller.
 
The benchmark price in Calgary reached $293,500, a year-over-year gain of nearly 11 per cent. The recent increase in price is shifting this market closer to full price recovery. For example, apartment condominium prices reached a monthly high back in November 2014 at $306,600.

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS

Airdrie
With 154 sales and 203 new listings in March, the sales-to-new listings ratio pushed up to 76 per cent, and inventory levels fell to the lowest levels for the month since 2014. While conditions are not as tight as they were last year, the months of supply did fall to the lowest level seen in over eight months. The months of supply in Airdrie has not risen above two months since January 2021, and the persistent tightness so far this year has caused prices to trend up again compared to levels seen at the end of 2022.
 
In March, the benchmark price reached $497,400, a two per cent gain over last month. Despite the recent improvements, levels are nearly two per cent below last year’s and still below the monthly peak of $510,700 reported in April 2022. While prices are still lower than last year’s peak, it is important to keep a perspective on how much prices have risen in this market over the past several years. As of March, the benchmark price is over 20 per cent higher than the levels reported in March 2021.

Cochrane
While both sales and new listings have improved over levels seen over the past several months, they are still much lower than the high levels reported last year. In addition, unlike other areas, inventory levels are higher than the low levels reported in the previous year. However, with only 155 units available in March and sales of 87, the months of supply has once again fallen below two months.
 
For the second month in a row, residential benchmark prices increased over the previous month reaching $501,900. Despite the monthly gain, prices are still slightly lower than last year’s levels, and the monthly high achieved in June of 2022 at $522,600. Like Airdrie, prices in the area have risen significantly over the past several years and are over 20 per cent higher than levels reported back in March 2021.  

Okotoks
Sales and new listings have improved over levels seen earlier this year. However, with 55 sales and 67 new listings, conditions remained exceptionally tight, and with 61 units available in March, levels were amongst the lowest levels ever recorded for the month. Before the March 2020 pandemic, Okotoks would typically see over 200 units available in inventory.
 
With one month of supply, conditions continue to favour the seller placing upward pressure on prices. After three consecutive months of price gains, in March, the benchmark price reached $561,600, a new record high for the area.

Click here to view the full City of Calgary monthly stats package.
Click here to view the full Calgary region monthly stats package.  

The Sun Still Shines

Hello Friend, it’s been awhile. What’s new?!

Wow! To say what a year this has been is a complete understatement. Imagine on New Year’s Eve 2020 you bet the year would play out as it has. The odds would probably award you with being able to purchase your own private island, somewhere tropical, where shoes are not required.

If there is anything that I have learnt through the entire ordeal of 2020 is that…

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